I originally took the trade on what I was taught to be called an "aggressive C" buy. Predicting that the market would reverse off a fib point (78.6) and go on to form an advanced pattern (Gartley, Bat, Butterfly). There was some good structure towards my entry point so it qualified (by my rules) as a worthy trade. However, instead of placing my stops below that particular structure area I looked left of my chart and noticed another spike low. I've learned to always look at past price action just to see if there are any areas that I need to be concerned with. I've been stopped out of trades in the past by selecting the wrong area of support/resistance to take seriously so I knew that it would be a much wiser move to go with this other area of structure . Sure it increased my risk by a few more pips, but I felt that if I was correct in my analysis then it was worth it. And again, I had taken a few trades in the past where I was stopped out, only to see the market rally and make profit without me.
As you can see on the chart the market immediately shot down past the recent structure area only to retrace and form a new structure area followed by another shot up giving me a chance to bank half of my position at target 1 (which was also determined by using a combination of Fibonacci analysis and looking at the structure around that area. Again in the past I used to go strictly by the fibs and I had many cases where price action would reverse a few pips before my target because of a structure area that I overlooked. So now I take both very seriously and simply try to predict where the market is most likely to go before hitting some resistance (by structure or fibs) and set my profits BEFORE that area just to be safe. After all I'd much rather take 10pips les sin profit than lose the entire load.
I wrote this post not to brag about a winning trade, (because I know you guys can care less, but to demonstrate how having proper knowledge of the market can be used to manage a trade and hopefully hold on to a few dollars that would otherwise fall victim to the market. I didn't mention it earlier but I also tracked this trade on the 60m chart and was able to move my stops up and decrease my risk even before target 1 was hit. Which is something I like to do a lot if the market gives me that opportunity. But again, you have to have rules that tell you what signals allow you to do so, because if you just randomly start moving stops up, you'll wind up getting whipsawed and taken out on a trade that will go on to win. The overall key is to remember the mistakes that you've made in the past because similar situations will occur in the future. And if you make the same mistake again, well that's just plain dumb. However if you learn from a past mistake and use that to better your strategy or technique the next go around. Well then you're on your way to some real trading success assuming you stay consistent.
To see the chart of this trade please visit the Chart Talk section of this site.
Thanks, Akil. L. Stokes